Credit risk is the risk of loss, incurred by a
party that is on the right side of a bet on a market move, due to the losing
counterparty's failure to meet its obligations. Depending on the reward, some
investors desire credit risk, some do not mind credit risk, and others do not
want it—hence markets for derivatives such as Credit Default Swaps and
Collateralized Debt Obligations have evolved. The pricing of these credit
derivatives depends on effective models, one of which is known as the Incomplete
Information (I2) model. Several project teams under the guidance of Visiting
Professor Kay Giesecke investigated the I2 model to determine whether it is a
good pricing device. This required calibrating the model using actual data
including equity prices, option prices, and prices of credit default swaps (a
task that entailed an optimization step) and validating the results against data
not used in the calibration. The teams, which used different approaches,
determined that the I2 approach is a viable pricing tool.