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| Successful inventory control depends on a combination of factors |
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Timely and accurate data is the first factor. Inventory control is the discovery
and implementation of the best answers to a few simple questions. What should be
stocked? When should orders be placed? How much should be ordered? Simple on
paper, these questions become complex when asked in the context of the reality
of business. The reality of business - or at least, the reality of business as
best our minds can represent it - comprises numerous energy and material flows
as well as psychological factors operating on both the micro and macro scales.
Timely and accurate data about demand, available supply, existing stock, and
plant or warehouse capacity is the beginning of the process by which business
reality becomes transformed into the figures and abstracted models necessary for
forecasting and decision-making. Humanity succeeds on the strength of our
ability to translate the infinitely various details of the world of phenomena
into models that are both simple enough to hold in the mind and accurate enough
to be a sound basis for advantageous decisions in a particular context.
Models are our second factor. An example from another field: Rivers are
infinitely complex flows that have fascinated humanity for all of its history.
The potential of rivers for fueling contemplation, poetry, reverie, and
philosophy is inexhaustible. Likewise, the potential of rivers for creating
unique human experiences is inexhaustible. But an engineer designing a dam can
"reduce" the infinite potential of the river to those few numeric values that
are relevant to the business of dam-building. This is what gives the engineer
power over the river. The dam-building is the particular context which allows
the engineer to focus attention on only a few factors: rate of water flow, depth
and width of river, average seismic activity in the region, temperature
variation, strength of building materials, and so on. The engineer's training
and experience give him or her a mental model of dams and rivers into which
objective factors can be plugged to yield proper building decisions.
Both the model and the data that goes into the model must be accurate
for correct decisions to be made. Inaccurate data going into a perfect model
yields inaccurate results: garbage in, garbage out. Perfect data going into an
inaccurate model likewise yields inaccurate results: a driver with perfect
vision cannot steer well if the steering mechanism is out of order.
In
the inventory control world, simple and effective models have been available for
more than fifty years. The last fifty years have also seen the permeation of
business by the computer: a machine which has replaced the often makeshift,
haphazard, or cumbersome inventories of the past with database systems that are
reliable, centralized, and easy to use. One of the surprises of the last
half-century has been the success of this world-changing technology that not
only matched but exceeded most of the hype in its attendance, replacing file
cabinets, punch-cards, and human memory with a plastic box on top of a desk.
The computer has also helped greatly enhance our third factor, which is
forecasting power. Inventory control can be defined as the maintenance of the
most efficient, least expensive buffer between demand and supply. The more one
knows about future demand and future supply, the less safety stock one has to
hold. An inventory controller who knew exactly what would be available when, and
exactly what would be in demand when, could get by with minimal stock. Every
improvement in predictive power directly enhances the efficiency of stock
control.
But the accurate data upon which forecasting depends means
something, as we have said before, only in a certain context. To know what to do
with data one must know what one wishes to accomplish: the goal or objective.
This objective, or system of objectives, is our fourth factor. Most
stock-holding businesses describe their objective in terms of two figures:
service level, which is the percentage of customer orders that can be met
directly from the business' own stock, without backordering - and the cost of
holding stock. Service level is to be maximized and the cost of holding stock is
to be minimized. Both are objective figures that directly index the business'
efficiency and profit - hence they are so valuable. With vague, unobjective, or
mistaken goals it is easy for a manager to believe that stock control is
improving when it is actually falling apart. Having precise objectives also
gives employees and managers the valuable psychological advantage of being
self-directed actors capable of exactly measuring their performance.
(Just-in-Time is not an exception because in the Just-in-Time methodology goals
are actually even more methodic and objective than in most traditional systems.)
Our fifth factor is the actual human, managerial and physical ability to
implement the decisions of inventory control. This is the bottleneck factor
without which the others are irrelevant, because it is the factor that turns
theoretical inventory control into practical inventory control. It comprises
everything between the making of the decision and its final, physical result,
which can then be measured against set objectives.
These five factors -
timely and accurate data, appropriate inventory control models, accurate
forecasting, meaningful objectives, and implementation - are equally important
because each depends on all of the others. Without data and forecasting there is
nothing to feed into the model. Without objectives there is no way to measure
success or failure. Without implementation inventory control is merely
theoretical. An improvement in any of the factors is an improvement in the
whole. |
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