Minutes before starting to write this story, my Dell
Inspiron 3200 stopped working. It took eight minutes to find Dell’s toll-free
number and another six minutes to get hold of a Dell representative. Once the
problem was explained, the Dell employee calmly talked me through a step-by-step
process aimed at diagnosing the source of the trouble. It took a few more
minutes to conclude that the hard drive had crashed. Within three business days,
Dell had restored the laptop to health.
While another computer retailer might have fixed a broken
laptop just as quickly, it probably would have cost them a lot more to do it.
For the most part, computer retailers in Asia still stagger under the
traditional costs of selling a high-tech item in this part of the world. Those
costs include maintaining an army of distributors and managing thousands of
square feet of retail store space and dozens of walk-in service centers. By
contrast, Dell Computers, the largest direct-sale merchant of home computers in
the US, does all its business over the telephone and Internet. That high-tech
approach to selling high-tech items has proved so successful that the company
has set its corporate sights on Asia’s far-flung markets.
But so far, booting up the direct-sales model in Asia has
not been a snap for Dell. The biggest problem: local customers still seem a bit
uneasy about using a telephone to buy a PC. Given the quality of phone service
in many parts of the region, this reluctance is understandable. In addition,
most Dell PC buyers in the US and Europe use credit cards to pay for their
purchases. But the percentage of customers who own credit cards in developing
markets in Asia is still relatively small.
Nevertheless, the Round Rock, Texas-based computer maker has
plowed ahead. In 1995, the company opened a 238,000 square-foot Asia Pacific
manufacturing base in Penang, Malaysia. Last November, Dell cut the ribbon on
its first factory in China, in Xiamen. Many of the PCs rolling out of those
factories will go to corporate customers �a huge part of Dell’s business in the
US and Europe. Indeed, Dell has already won sizeable contracts from a number of
Asian subsidiaries of the company’s multinational customers. In addition, Dell’s
Web site now supports 16 country-specific sites for the region, in five
different languages.
Those efforts are finally starting to pay off. In 1996, the
computer maker ranked 15th in sales of computers in Asia (ex Japan). Last year,
Dell shot up to seventh on the list, according to International Data Corporation
(IDC). With direct sales operations now in 12 Asian countries and distributors
in 38 locations in Asia, regional revenues topped US$1 billion, a nearly 50
percent jump from the year before. Units shipped increased 47 percent.
Company managers will not talk about whether Dell is
actually turning a profit in Asia. But analysts say that the PC maker is
certainly not missing out on the rewards of its increased sales. Says Janardhan
Menon, analyst at Dresdner Kleinwort Benson in Singapore: “By side-stepping the
retail channel, Dell’s margins are higher than its competitors.�
Ruthless People
To maintain those high margins, the computer maker relies
heavily on its world-class finance de-partment. Mark Stevens, vice-president and
con-troller, Dell Asia-Pacific, says keeping inventory at paper-thin levels is
crucial to Dell’s success. Stevens, a former business development director with
Motorola in China, watches the company’s inventory like a hawk. He looks at
weekly updates of how many days of stock Dell carries, broken down by product
component. Working closely with suppliers, he ensures that orders for unpopular
products are slashed. If inventories start to climb, he recommends that Dell
launch promotions to steer customers towards products it wants to unload. This
attention to detail pays off, too. Dell’s inventory levels are currently about
six days �60 inventory turns a year �as compared to 12 to 30 turns a year for
its competitors. This tight control of stock means Dell can control its
expenditures that much more.
It also means that the company can respond swiftly to
advances in technology, which seem to occur about every Tuesday in the computer
industry. When Intel unveiled its new Pentium III processor in February, for
example, Dell immediately started selling a Pentium III-based desktop computer.
To help move older Pentium II models, the company bundled those boxes with
larger 17-inch monitors and DVD players. “The nature of Dell’s model gives it an
edge over others in inventory management,�says Dane Anderson, director of
computer systems research for IDC in Singapore. This ruthless obsession with
inventory helps generate lots of cash. In fact, Dell has perfected what it calls
a negative cash conversion cycle. While not a unique concept, Dell claims it is
the first computer retailer to take advantage of this aggressive cash management
approach. In essence, a negative cash conversion cycle means that Dell gets paid
before it pays its suppliers. On the accounts payable side, Dell gets the same
terms that any big customer receives from suppliers �about 30-60 days. On the
receivables side, however, Dell collects its bills in about half that time. To
determine the cash conversion cycle, Stevens adds Dell’s receivables, i.e. days
sales outstanding and days sales in inventory, then subtracts days of payables.
Last quarter, Dell’s accounts receivables stood at 36 days but its payables ran
up to 54 days while its days inventory came in at six. This worked out to a
negative cash conversion cycle of 12 days.
No Secrets
This metric, according to Stevens, is the linchpin for the
company’s entire inventory management. “How fast costs come down depends on
inventory,�he says. “It offers us half of our cost advantages over our
competitors.�Stevens says he then passes most of the cost reductions on to
customers, to keep the whole cycle moving. Thomas Meredith, Dell’s CFO, confirms
Stevens�view. In a recent interview in CFO, the US-based sister publication of
CFO Asia, Meredith said, “The balance between profitable growth and liquidity
management is all about velocity.�Stevens won’t comment on how much cash the
system generates in Asia, but according to company statements, Dell’s worldwide
operations generated US$752 million in cash in the quarter ending in January,
increasing the company’s cash and marketable securities to a whopping US$3.2
billion.
They put the money to good use, too. Cash generated by the
Dell model goes to buy Dell stock. Since launching a stock repurchase program in
February 1996, the computer maker has acquired 375 million of its own shares.
Investors aren’t complaining, that’s for sure. When the company first started
the buyback program, shares of Dell were trading at US$1.50. As of press time,
the Dell share price was near US$42 �a remarkable rise.
Still, Dell will be hard pressed to duplicate that sort of
performance over the next three years. In the US, Compaq has begun selling its
PC product lines over the Internet, tying up with e-commerce vendors. Gateway,
Dell’s direct sales arch-rival in the US, has also opened up shop in Asia.
Unlike Dell, however, both Gateway and Compaq have their own dealer network,
which could cause problems for the two vendors. Retail dealers get a little
testy when they see their line of computers being sold over the Internet for
less. But as e-commerce becomes popular, more companies will be tempted to
peddle their wares online �ala the Dell model. “Direct sales can complement the
existing distribution network,�says IDC’s Anderson. Another worry: Dell has
succeeded so far largely on the strength of its sales to corporate customers.
This has made sales and payment collection relatively simple to monitor and
manage. Selling and collecting bills from the vast army of consumers in Asia
won’t be nearly so easy. Further, analysts are skeptical about Dell’s prospects
in China, a country with a low phone penetration rate and strong local brands.